Minister,
Eswatini is my own country, and I have put it through exactly the same method as the other fifty-three — no lighter, no heavier. Africa buys USD 709 bn of goods a year, and USD 620 bn of it leaves this continent. I sign the same painful cheque you do, which is why I hold this draft to the same test I ask of you.
What is fixed — and what is yours to change
Two kinds of statement sit in this document, and they carry different weight. The continental spine is fixed: USD 709 bn of total imports; USD 620 bn sourced off-continent; approximately USD 89 bn traded within Africa; USD 136.75 bn of measured government procurement inside an estimated USD 207 bn that our governments influence. Those figures are measured, reconciled and not on the table. Everything else — the product bundle proposed for Eswatini — is Draft 1: a first pass drawn from your country’s productive-capacity audit, printed precisely so that you can correct it.
Why Eswatini is in this room
Eswatini's strongest endowment is not a mineral but a finished intermediate: the soft-drink concentrate plant at Matsapha, which has produced concentrate and supplied it to sixty bottling companies across twenty African countries since 1987, and which anchors the HS 33 category that reached about USD 650.6 million, or 27.1 per cent of exports, in 2024. It sits alongside a sugar complex that makes Eswatini Africa's fourth-largest producer at around 670,000 tonnes a season with 170,000 tonnes of refining capacity at Mhlume, and a Swazi-owned forestry operation processing over 1 million tonnes of timber a year at roughly 70 per cent value-add. The honest constraint is power and scale: domestic generation of only about 70 MW against roughly 236 MW peak demand, with around 70 per cent of electricity imported, in an economy of 1.2 million people that cannot match continental-scale plants. Eswatini's contribution is depth in a narrow band of processed goods, not volume.
The instrument — two layers, both required
Pre-allocation. The African Union pre-allocates 25-year supply rights per product category to designated African producers. That is the fairness layer — the reason every member state, including those still rebuilding, holds a bundle at all.
Match-or-Release. When any of our governments procures, the designated continental supplier is shown the open-market quote and must match it on price, quality, warranty and service in a single window — or release the buyer instantly, no penalty, no delay. I have called it the Cell Phone Test: nobody in this room is asked to buy a worse phone. This is a right to match, never a right to exclude. Your procurement autonomy is untouched, and there is no pooled purchasing, no central buyer, no buyers’ club.
The same test I ask of you
I hold Eswatini to its own draft as I ask you to hold yours: mark what is wrong, the lines that do not belong, the capability understated, the buyer misread. The response instrument at the foot of this document is the same one on all fifty-four, and Draft 2 will show, line by line, which member state asked for each change. The correction is the method.